What a useful sports pattern looks like
ASD records a pattern only when the observation can be stated with an entity, condition, sample, baseline, effect, validation state, contradiction, and current relevance.
Recent production shift
A player’s last-10 rate differs from the season baseline, but the sample remains descriptive until it persists.
Explore Recent production shift →Chronological holdout support
A team split repeats in later games after the discovery sample, with effect size and baseline disclosed.
Explore Chronological holdout support →Context breaks the pattern
Lineup role, workload, opponent quality, or a later holdout window weakens the original observation.
Explore Context breaks the pattern →